Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.332618 0.387554 0.448889 0.522478 0.608431 0.705725 0.824325
2025-01-26 0.256433 0.331643 0.424876 0.549132 0.710730 0.914248 1.190808
2025-02-02 0.216421 0.300667 0.412886 0.573702 0.799011 1.104613 1.552636
2025-02-09 0.186998 0.275332 0.400077 0.589738 0.872132 1.279165 1.914325
2025-02-16 0.162460 0.251464 0.383639 0.595134 0.927066 1.431399 2.262311
2025-02-23 0.141299 0.228636 0.364266 0.591399 0.965033 1.560129 2.589504
2025-03-02 0.121559 0.204740 0.339241 0.573969 0.976924 1.646814 2.858139
2025-03-09 0.111702 0.195342 0.335812 0.590651 1.046059 1.834369 3.320881
2025-03-16 0.100916 0.182725 0.325030 0.592658 1.089112 1.981401 3.731106
2025-03-23 0.093096 0.174196 0.320030 0.603803 1.149175 2.165024 4.232560
2025-03-30 0.083259 0.160630 0.304129 0.592386 1.165013 2.267877 4.592233
2025-04-06 0.075503 0.149980 0.292252 0.586871 1.190971 2.392319 5.010512
2025-04-13 0.069428 0.142026 0.284896 0.589979 1.235875 2.562643 5.554041
2025-04-20 0.066781 0.140669 0.290450 0.620244 1.341142 2.870756 6.438876
2025-04-27 0.064073 0.138803 0.294657 0.648068 1.444709 3.188597 7.392233
2025-05-04 0.060712 0.135090 0.294481 0.666230 1.529248 3.475806 8.318205
2025-05-11 0.056680 0.129380 0.289266 0.672342 1.587072 3.710258 9.154219
2025-05-18 0.052277 0.122281 0.280103 0.668112 1.620004 3.891092 9.886120
2025-05-25 0.047258 0.113139 0.265209 0.648370 1.612904 3.975380 10.387385
2025-06-01 0.045257 0.110928 0.266186 0.667264 1.703703 4.311069 11.591086
2025-06-08 0.042398 0.106277 0.260784 0.669537 1.752578 4.547703 12.566552
2025-06-15 0.040373 0.103459 0.259513 0.682161 1.830010 4.868103 13.820943
2025-06-22 0.037162 0.097230 0.248996 0.669230 1.837440 5.004047 14.575495